Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.002457 0.002611 0.002776 0.002967 0.003183 0.003421 0.003707
2025-01-12 0.002161 0.002362 0.002588 0.002865 0.003201 0.003602 0.004128
2025-01-19 0.002002 0.002234 0.002505 0.002853 0.003300 0.003872 0.004690
2025-01-26 0.001806 0.002038 0.002316 0.002682 0.003169 0.003818 0.004804
2025-02-02 0.001732 0.001980 0.002286 0.002702 0.003277 0.004090 0.005427
2025-02-09 0.001694 0.001962 0.002299 0.002775 0.003464 0.004497 0.006365
2025-02-16 0.001637 0.001914 0.002271 0.002786 0.003557 0.004776 0.007173
2025-02-23 0.001616 0.001910 0.002297 0.002874 0.003775 0.005295 0.008652
2025-03-02 0.001555 0.001850 0.002242 0.002836 0.003789 0.005462 0.009451
2025-03-09 0.001491 0.001781 0.002170 0.002768 0.003745 0.005512 0.009995
2025-03-16 0.001470 0.001769 0.002178 0.002819 0.003906 0.005989 0.011990
2025-03-23 0.001445 0.001750 0.002174 0.002852 0.004037 0.006436 0.014337
2025-03-30 0.001394 0.001696 0.002119 0.002805 0.004030 0.006609 0.016034
2025-04-06 0.001336 0.001630 0.002044 0.002720 0.003946 0.006592 0.016989
2025-04-13 0.001302 0.001597 0.002016 0.002712 0.004006 0.006942 0.020419
2025-04-20 0.001233 0.001510 0.001904 0.002557 0.003763 0.006476 0.018539
2025-04-27 0.001212 0.001493 0.001896 0.002575 0.003865 0.006936 0.023549
2025-05-04 0.001205 0.001495 0.001916 0.002642 0.004078 0.007781 0.036318
2025-05-11 0.001185 0.001476 0.001904 0.002651 0.004170 0.008316 0.052796
2025-05-18 0.001182 0.001482 0.001930 0.002732 0.004430 0.009556 0.151203
2025-05-25 0.001154 0.001450 0.001895 0.002697 0.004422 0.009824 0.310453
2025-06-01 0.001121 0.001411 0.001847 0.002635 0.004343 0.009784 0.538996
2025-06-08 0.001113 0.001408 0.001856 0.002682 0.004533 0.010988 NaN